The fieldwork took place on 12 and 13 November, after Teddy Riner's candidacy was announced. The survey provides a snapshot of the balance of forces immediately after that declaration.
Marine Le Pen remains ahead in voting intentions for the 2027 presidential election, according to a survey whose results France 24 reports.
The National Rally candidate remains well ahead in the configurations tested. She is broadly stable, at between 31% and 33% of voting intentions.
The France Unbowed candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gains 1.5 to 2 points and moves into second place. He ranks behind Marine Le Pen in the scenarios examined.
Depending on the scenarios, he receives 17% to 18.5% of voting intentions. This range depends on the configurations selected by the survey.
Marine Le Pen thus remains in the lead, followed by Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who settles into second place. The results confirm this order in the scenarios presented.
Raphaël Glucksmann, for his part, falls by 2 to 2.5 points. He obtains between 13% and 14% of voting intentions depending on the configurations.
Against Jean-Luc Mélenchon in the second round, Marine Le Pen would win clearly. She would obtain 68.5% of the vote, compared with 31.5% for her opponent.
The survey was conducted among a sample of 1,500 people representative of the French population aged 18 and over. The quota method was used.
The margin of error is between 1.1 and 3.1 points. This interval frames the reading of the changes measured from one configuration to another.
A poll, like any opinion survey, remains a snapshot of the moment. It has no predictive value.